Giants vs. Cardinals prediction: Take the Under


The San Francisco Giants have surprised many to have the best record in MLB to this point, and the sub-.500 St. Louis Cardinals will turn to veteran Adam Wainwright to get the second half of the year started on the right foot. Wainwright has been much better in St. Louis than on the road this season, with a 2.55 home ERA across 10 starts as opposed to a 5.35 road ERA in seven starts, with six home runs in 67 innings allowed at home versus seven in 38 ²/₃ innings allowed on the road.

He will face off with Kevin Gausman, who has been outstanding for the Giants regardless of the location, but has actually been at his best on the road — allowing three runs or fewer in each of his past 15 starts overall and two runs or fewer in 14 of those. Gausman has a 5-2 record with a 1.35 ERA away from home with four home runs allowed in 66 ²/₃ innings, and overall the Giants holding their opponent to four runs or fewer in each of his past 10 road starts.

The Giants’ bullpen is fifth in the league in ERA while the St. Louis pitching staff is allowing the fewest home runs per nine innings at home this season.

With the Cardinals having played 10 of Wainwright’s past 12 home starts Under the total dating back to 2020, 10 of Gausman’s 15 road starts as a Giant going Under the total and the Cardinals having just two of their past 10 home games go Over the total, these two offenses will have a tough time getting runs on the board on Friday.

The play: Giants vs Cardinals, Total Under 7.5 runs.

View original post